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The start to 2026 has transitioned from a geopolitical shock into a regulatory and institutional tug-of-war. Following the capture of Nicolás Maduro on January 3, the week of January 6 to January 11, 2026, saw the Maduro Premium begin to stabilize as the market shifted its focus toward Washington's next moves.

While Bitcoin (BTC) remains the undisputed anchor in a volatile global landscape, the conversation is no longer just about price—it’s about the infrastructure and laws that will define the rest of the year.

Market Update

The total crypto market cap remains steady at around $3.12 trillion. While the initial surge past $93,000 cooled slightly as the news of the Venezuela transition became priced in, the market has found a high-level floor that many analysts believe marks the end of the boom-bust era of 80% drawdowns.

  • Bitcoin Price Action - BTC spent the week consolidating, trading in a tight range between $90,400 and $91,800. The panic-buying of the previous week has been replaced by a wait-and-see approach as traders look toward the upcoming FOMC meeting and Senate hearings.

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Bitcoin Dominance

BTC Dominance from CoinMarket Cap

BTC Dominance - 58.7% Bitcoin's dominance continues to creep upward. Despite the altcoin season hopes that often accompany a new year, the geopolitical uncertainty of the Venezuela crisis and new US tax reporting requirements (Form 1099-DA) have kept capital parked in the safety of Bitcoin.

Fear & Greed

Fear and Greed Index from Bitdegree

Index Score - 27/100 (Fear) The market has settled into a true FEAR state. The Extreme Fear of late 2025 is a memory, but the Greed that usually follows a $90k breakout is being held in check by regulatory caution. Investors are currently more focused on preservation than speculation.

US Government Crypto Moves

Washington has hit the ground running in the first full week of 2026:

  • Senate Hearings Announced - On January 8, the Senate Banking and Agriculture Committees scheduled joint hearings for January 15 to address the CLARITY Act and stablecoin oversight.

  • The GENIUS Act Push - The American Bankers Association (ABA) sent a formal letter to the Senate on January 6, urging lawmakers to close yield gaps in the 2025 GENIUS Act, specifically targeting yield-bearing stablecoins that compete with traditional bank deposits.

  • Anti-Insider Trading Bill - Representative Ritchie Torres introduced the Public Integrity in Financial Prediction Markets Act of 2026 on January 5. This bill follows a controversial $400,000 Polymarket payout tied to the Maduro capture, aiming to ban elected officials from trading on prediction markets.

Voices from the Trenches

  • Michael Saylor (@saylor) - Saylor remains the Bull-in-Chief. This week, he emphasized that nation-state adoption is the next frontier for 2026, unfazed by MSTR’s recent volatility. Strategy purchased 1,286 BTC. Last week Saylor said

"Bitcoin is the only property you can truly own in a world of shifting borders."

  • Anthony Pompliano (@APompliano) - On the latest Pomp Podcast, Pomp hosted Jeff Park of ProCap Financial to discuss the Institutional Squeeze of 2026. He argues that Bitcoin’s current stability at $90k, despite a global crisis, is proof that it has matured into a monster of financial markets.

  • PlanB (@100trillionUSD) - Sticking to his S2F (Stock-to-Flow) roots, PlanB noted this week that while the blow-off top hasn't happened yet, the scarcity mechanics are tightening. He views the current $90k range as a re-accumulation phase before the next major leg up.

Crypto Media Highlights

  • CoinDesk - Led with reports on the upcoming Consensus Hong Kong (Feb 2026), highlighting it as the key event for East-West  crypto collaboration after the Maduro shock redirected global trade flows.

  • CoinTelegraph - Focused on the EU’s DAC8 directive, which went into effect on January 1. They reported that exchanges are now aggressively collecting Tax IDs, causing some retail flight toward non-custodial solutions.

  • The Block - Investigated the Insider Trading allegations on Polymarket regarding the Maduro capture, reporting that one trader netted nearly half a million dollars by betting on the raid just hours before it happened.

Top Crypto Gains and Losers

The leaderboard this week reflects a shift toward niche utility and the fallout of projects failing to meet new compliance standards.

Top 3 Gainers 

Crypto Gains from CoinGecko

Gleec Coin (GLEEC) - Massive rally of 328% following a new liquidity integration and high-volume trading on major exchanges.

Islamic Coin (ISLM) - Surge in interest as a Shariah-compliant hedge during Middle Eastern market uncertainty saw this crypto jump 250%.

Palladium Network (PDN) - Technical breakout of 164% after successfully testing support at the $1,600 Hammer formation.

Top 3 Losers 

Crypto Losers from CoinGecko

TronBank (TBK) - A decline of 62% caused by decreased daily active users as DeFi capital moves to yield-bearing stablecoins.

Unchain (UCN) - Heavy sell-off as much as 54% after hitting an all-time high; investors started rotating into more established Layer 1s.

Pieverse (PIEVERSE) - Slumped 43% as Metaverse fatigue continues to weigh on P2E (Play-to-Earn) tokens in favor of AI-crypto plays.

Stay the Course

We are no longer in the wild west. We are in the era of Digital Geopolitics. The stability of Bitcoin at $90,000 in the face of a US-led capture of a foreign leader proves that the asset has decoupled from simple risk-on sentiment.

Control your keys, stay updated on the Senate hearings next week, and as always, HODL strong.

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This article is for informational purposes only. It should not be considered Financial or Legal Advice. Not all information will be accurate. Consult a financial professional before making any significant financial decisions.

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